Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.857204 1.001079 1.161415 1.353322 1.576792 1.828845 2.134804
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.614291 0.801266 1.033294 1.342351 1.743372 2.246445 2.926194
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.484689 0.684137 0.951375 1.335544 1.873983 2.602560 3.665059
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.405216 0.609863 0.901697 1.348048 2.014049 2.972295 4.458963
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.332262 0.528630 0.824167 1.301083 2.052269 3.191964 5.057310
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.306932 0.513096 0.838623 1.389624 2.300313 3.748730 6.234861
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.261039 0.456616 0.779299 1.349903 2.335497 3.972173 6.906444
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.222764 0.406383 0.721922 1.302961 2.348391 4.155158 7.527548
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.192336 0.364944 0.673073 1.262385 2.363952 4.340136 8.170323
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.175799 0.346128 0.661261 1.285826 2.495904 4.744176 9.258590
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.169151 0.344881 0.681186 1.370533 2.752135 5.405451 10.914124
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.158041 0.333175 0.679345 1.412117 2.929045 5.935777 12.380529
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.143942 0.313898 0.661006 1.420101 3.043852 6.366900 13.723367
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.129569 0.292061 0.634706 1.408289 3.116842 6.724356 14.966388
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.117439 0.273287 0.612187 1.401132 3.198090 7.107931 16.315709
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.108365 0.260025 0.599734 1.414246 3.325227 7.605034 17.982487
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.095855 0.236970 0.562286 1.364984 3.303244 7.767660 18.903883
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.094184 0.239575 0.584106 1.457855 3.626552 8.757497 21.907741
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.084291 0.220509 0.552150 1.416192 3.619566 8.971658 23.058483
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.075120 0.201956 0.518994 1.366954 3.586969 9.119426 24.062788
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.067339 0.185918 0.490010 1.324394 3.565528 9.291595 25.152377
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.063621 0.180232 0.486787 1.348981 3.722896 9.936194 27.570880
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.063049 0.183119 0.506442 1.437831 4.064510 11.101658 31.551075